Wednesday 31 July 2013

A Look Of Local Currency Emerging Market Bonds

By Maryanne Goff


Investors are given a couple of options if they wish to make investments within emerging market bonds. One of them is to invest in a debt that is dollar dominated and issued by the worlds developing nations. Such debts are on a basis of the US dollar, so investors who are US citizens are not required to convert the bond into various foreign currencies when in the process of buying them. This results in lesser impact apart from that of the risk volatility that comes with such bonds.

The other option involves bonds denominated in local currencies as opposed to US dollars. The investor in this case will have to convert their money into another currency before purchasing the bond. This means that he or she will now see the investment value affected by fluctuations in currency together with the underlying bonds price movement.

This is best shown by a example. A situation may arise whereby an investor buys a debt of one million dollars using Brazilian currency, facilitating the money to be first converted into that particular currency. One year later, the bond price stays exactly as it was, but the local currency appreciates by 5% in relation to the dollar. Should the investor sell the bond later making the conversion back to dollars, there is a 5% gain in the investments value, irrespective of whether the bond price itself does not change.

Anyone who wants to set aside a segment of their portfolio must select either local currency dominated or dollar dominated bond fund. When one chooses the local currency options, they can enjoy two benefits. One is that investors are allowed to branch out their holdings from the dollar. The other benefit there is a stronger economic growth that emerging market nations may have. Investors can benefit from what the growth brings to their country over time.

However, another volatility layer is simultaneously added by currency exposure. This is particularly vital at instances when investors are trying to avoid risks. During such occasions, expecting local currencies funds to underperform is reasonable, when a comparison is made to their counterparts that are dollar denominated. Hence, a debt that is dollar based may eventually turn out to be the better option for anyone who invests in the asset or for one who tolerates risk less.

Emerging market bonds have undergone evolution from a quite volatile asset class during the early 1990s to a more mature, large segment of todays worldwide financial markets. Emerging countries have improved gradually in terms of the issuing countries financial strength, political stability and the smartness of government fiscal policies.

Several developing countries may have problems with budget deficits together with large debts, but most of them are finding ways of overcoming these limitations. Collectively, most of them enjoy healthier economic growth rates when compared to developed countries.

The result is that although the yields are now lower than they were in the past, prices show more stability. Nonetheless, the emerging market bonds are always vulnerable to external shocks that weaken the appetite the investors have for risk. Therefore, the asset class remains volatile in spite of the fundamental improvements in the underlying countries economies.




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